Comparing classical and Bayesian methods for predicting hurricane landfall rates
نویسنده
چکیده
We compare classical and Bayesian methods for fitting the poisson distribution to the number of hurricanes making landfall on sections of the US coastline.
منابع مشابه
Predicting hurricane regional landfall rates: comparing local and basin-wide track model approaches
We compare two methods for making predictions of the climatological distribution of the number of hurricanes making landfall along short sections of the North American coastline. The first method uses local data, and the second method uses a basin-wide track model. Using cross-validation we show that the basin-wide track model gives better predictions for almost all parts of the coastline. This...
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